The Fed Has Cemented Its Place as a Powerful Driver of Gold

The Fed Has Cemented Its Place as a Powerful Driver of Gold

Having already provided a tailwind for gold prices prior to the pandemic, the Fed’s latest announcement may drive the metal even higher. Find out why here.

Before the pandemic hit, gold had been on a steady upwards trend since the start of last summer. Although the metal rested on plenty of solid fundamentals, the momentum shift occurred as the Federal Reserve decided to slice interest rates in succession, joined by central banks around the world. The massive amounts of stimulus issued in response to the crisis, along with a prolonged zero-rates policy, also played a key role in helping gold breach its all-time high and climb above $2,000.

Considering the latest announcement by Fed Chair Jerome Powell and gold’s response to it, the Fed’s place as an exceedingly powerful driver of gold prices appears well-set. On Thursday, Powell announced that the Fed’s inflation rate could exceed 2%, a revelation with numerous positive implications for gold.

Inflationary expectations were already running rampant before the trillion-dollar stimulus, and the announcement that Fed officials aren’t too concerned about possible spikes in inflation are likely to play heavily into that role. Likewise, the purpose of the statement appears tied to the Fed’s desire to keep interest rates low, which some consider to be perhaps the most powerful tailwind for gold.

Having held onto the $1,940 support level for the better part of the past two weeks, gold was quick to respond, hitting a high of $1,973 during Friday’s trading session. Delano Saporu, founder of New Street Advisors, shared some of his views on gold’s current state, as well as what investors can expect from the markets moving forward. As Saporu and many other analysts noted, those looking for a safe-haven asset, be it as a hedge or otherwise, have nowhere to turn with the bond market being in dire strides. These investors are likely to pour into gold, not only as a source of safe returns but also due to concerns over the ever-increasing money supply.

Nancy Tengler, chief investment officer at Laffer Tengler Investments, echoed Saporu’s sentiment, highlighting that the strong fundamentals that have drawn investors to gold are still in place. Besides the addition of a sluggish economic recovery with plenty of concerns, negative real rates and ballooning government debt have been sticking out as red flags. The need to spur an economic recovery is likely to worsen the sovereign debt issue, which is generally viewed as a problem without a palatable solution.

Furthermore, Tengler also pointed to the uncertainty in the stock market, stating that only a few tech stocks aren’t high-risk plays right now. Noting that her firm called for a pullback when gold breached the $2,000 level, Tengler advised investors to buy the dip in gold whenever possible.

The Fed Raised Interest Rates. Now What?

Not only has the Fed raised interest rates, they want to keep on doing it through 2018. Can our economy sustain the ongoing increases?

The Fed Raised Interest Rates. Now What?

From Filip Karinja, for Birch Gold Group

This week, the Federal Reserve voted to raise interest rates a quarter of a percent to 0.5%, the first rate risesince 2006.

But this wasn’t the only bold announcement the Fed made. In a report released the same day, titled “Economic Projections“, they predicted that by 2018 they would raise rates to 3.3%.

It seems odd that they would come out with such a view on rates when, just last month, Janet Yellen said she would consider lowering rates into negative territory if the market was to fall considerably, like in 2008.

Considering the astronomic levels of our federal debt, having rates at 3.3% would be economic suicide; the United States simply would not be able to meet its obligations to its debt.

Interest rate target Federal Reserve The Fed Raised Interest Rates. Now What?

Projected Federal Reserve interest rate target (SOURCE)

So what does the Fed see changing in the next three years so positively — not only in the United States, but around the world — to be able to raise rates so sharply?

Here are the present day facts:

  • The global economy is beginning to contract, with many central banks already printing money like crazy and reducing rates into negative territory.
  • Retail sales have been falling short of expectations.
  • New housing has dropped off sharply.
  • The United States is becoming more polarized than ever — on politics, race, religion, etc.
  • The possibility of war in Syria and the Middle East region is ever intensifying, with nations taking turns dropping bombs all over the region.
  • Terrorism is increasingly spreading into the western world.
  • The threat of conflict with nations such as China, Russia, Syria and Iran is on the rise. Consider how Turkey shot down a Russian jet earlier this month.
  • Youth unemployment in Europe is reaching worrying levels.

For some reason, none of these factors seem to be weighing in on the Fed’s projections for the coming years. But ask yourself: How many of these problems do you think will be solved any time soon?

If you think any of this is overly cynical, take a look at this video, from Mr. Positive himself, motivational coach Tony Robbins. In it, he explains the nation’s debt problem and how there is no solution for it. Even if the rich were to be taxed a full 100% on earnings, it would not put a dent in the deficit.

Now, pretend you’re over two years in the future, in 2018. Would you guess that the debt will increase or decrease?

With the debt already so absurdly high, if the Fed moved rates out to 3.3%, the interest on this debt would be practically impossible to pay.

So put yourself two years in the future, and think about what it may hold for our nation. If you have any concerns, you may want to consider protecting your savings with some precious metals. Give us a call — we’re ready to help.


Is the bond market the next shoe to drop in Wall Street? Read why here.

photo credit: Perspectived, lines, madame #instaprol via photopin (license)

Jim Cramer Explains Why You Need Gold As Insurance

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BEST-SELLING AUTHOR STATES THE SIMPLE CASE FOR WHY EVERY AMERICAN NEEDS SOME GOLD TO PROTECT THEIR SAVINGS.

jim cramer gold insurance Video: Jim Cramer Explains Why You Need Gold as Insurance

Does your portfolio have an insurance policy?

If you’ve never considered having an insurance policy for your stocks, Jim Cramer is encouraging you to think again. According to the best-selling author and host of the CNBC show, Mad Money, “everyone should have one.” After all, “you won’t own a home without home owner’s insurance; you won’t own a car without car insurance.” And that’s exactly why your portfolio also needs insurance – something to tide you over when things threaten to go bad.

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